Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.019355 0.021307 0.023267 0.025377 0.027580 0.029808 0.032228
2025-05-25 0.015217 0.018244 0.021407 0.024933 0.028733 0.032685 0.037086
2025-06-01 0.012880 0.016502 0.020400 0.024855 0.029758 0.034947 0.040817
2025-06-08 0.010954 0.014955 0.019382 0.024553 0.030345 0.036567 0.043691
2025-06-15 0.009587 0.013887 0.018766 0.024574 0.031178 0.038355 0.046653
2025-06-22 0.008223 0.012693 0.017901 0.024217 0.031503 0.039510 0.048852
2025-06-29 0.006956 0.011503 0.016948 0.023679 0.031554 0.040301 0.050592
2025-07-06 0.005615 0.010099 0.015648 0.022655 0.030979 0.040329 0.051427
2025-07-13 0.005068 0.009678 0.015512 0.022981 0.031944 0.042081 0.054179
2025-07-20 0.004400 0.009032 0.015050 0.022879 0.032376 0.043200 0.056192
2025-07-27 0.003778 0.008392 0.014556 0.022705 0.032694 0.044165 0.058011
2025-08-03 0.003483 0.008197 0.014621 0.023209 0.033812 0.046048 0.060869
2025-08-10 0.002986 0.007688 0.014289 0.023256 0.034442 0.047438 0.063261
2025-08-17 0.002392 0.006966 0.013642 0.022893 0.034576 0.048262 0.065023
2025-08-24 0.001964 0.006450 0.013239 0.022815 0.035035 0.049447 0.067185
2025-08-31 0.001538 0.005865 0.012698 0.022525 0.035209 0.050278 0.068918
2025-09-07 0.001244 0.005472 0.012407 0.022546 0.035754 0.051538 0.071144
2025-09-14 0.000918 0.004937 0.011866 0.022204 0.035824 0.052213 0.072668
2025-09-21 0.000620 0.004363 0.011221 0.021689 0.035651 0.052578 0.073812
2025-09-28 0.000326 0.003639 0.010272 0.020711 0.034853 0.052159 0.074006
2025-10-05 0.000244 0.003485 0.010246 0.021023 0.035717 0.053765 0.076607
2025-10-12 0.000142 0.003184 0.009944 0.020925 0.036037 0.054696 0.078394
2025-10-19 0.000065 0.002876 0.009605 0.020758 0.036254 0.055492 0.080013